India Insights
Monthly update on India markets
30 June 2022
Summary
- Consumer inflation in India has breached the RBI’s upper tolerance level of 6 per cent for 5 months in a row
- The RBI announced an off-cycle rate hike of 40 basis points in April; and a further 50 basis-point hike when the regular MPC meeting convened in June
- Food prices have been a major driver of overall inflation, given the category’s large weight (54 per cent) in India’s consumer price index
- The RBI’s primary focus now is to anchor long-term inflation expectation to safeguard against the threat of run-away inflation, additional rate hikes are expected during the rest of the year