Investment Event
Trade uncertainty returns
26 February 2026
Key takeaways:
- Tariff uncertainty has returned to investment markets
- We retain our baseline scenario for trend-like growth, sticky inflation and modest Fed easing
- At this stage, the only certainty is uncertainty, and it is important to consider multiple scenarios
- Our house view remains for a broadening out and rotation in stock markets in 2026
- Emerging markets are the global leaders year-to-date. We expect this outperformance to continue